PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31, 9%
Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
7,1 k €
Liquidité
28,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
6.0% / 7.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
21 juil. 26, 18:53 UTC2 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For purposes of this market, "Before the Midterms" is defined to mean by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify.
- A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
- Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.