Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 94.6%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète7 févr. 26, 21:20 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Louisiana?
PredictItWhich Party will win the 2026 US Senate Election in Ohio?
Manifold MarketsWill a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Jon Husted win the Ohio special election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExTexas US Senate Winner
GeminiRègles
Resolves yes if the winner of the 2026 us senate election in Louisiana is a republican.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 133,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 947,3 k €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 194,6 M €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- 28,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 523,8 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 30,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 493,5 k €
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Republican wins 2026 US Senate election in Louisiana? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 94.6% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Republican wins 2026 US Senate election in Louisiana? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Republican wins 2026 US Senate election in Louisiana? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Republican wins 2026 US Senate election in Louisiana? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes if the winner of the 2026 us senate election in Louisiana is a republican.