Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
18.3 pts (24h)One-OffÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 2026Politique américaineÉlectionPolitique2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleKansas 25%+18.3ptEn tête parmi 15 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+18.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète30 oct. 26, 01:54 UTC3 janv. 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsBluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
KalshiWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democratic Senator say or post “glad he’s dead” within 24 hours of trumps death for ANY reason?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator/kxreddestdsen-27jan03
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
