Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
4.2 pts (24h)Politique8jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps 36.3%+4.2ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+4.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète1 févr. 26, 02:51 UTC3 nov. 26, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsReddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
KalshiHow many Democratic representatives will New York elect to the House in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many Democratic Representatives will Florida elect in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItRègles
Resolves based on these underlying markets:
- Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
- How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?
- Threshold conversion: Texas has 38 House seats. "At least 14 Democratic Representatives" is equivalent to "at most 24 Republican Representatives" in the underlying market.
- Outcome Senate market Reps market (R version) the named outcome YES 0-8 through 24 the named outcome YES 25 through 34-38 the named outcome NO 0-8 through 24 the named outcome NO 25 through 34-38
