Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.7%
Prévisionnistes
57
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète10 déc. 24, 13:30 UTC25 janv. 29, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of terrorism?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump pardon?
Kalshi[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?
FutuurLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
If President Trump pardon Luigi Mangione, UnitedHealth CEO killer, during his next presidential term will resolve YES, otherwise NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour President Trump to pardon Luigi Mangione? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand President Trump to pardon Luigi Mangione? sera-t-il résolu ?
- President Trump to pardon Luigi Mangione? doit être résolu le 25 janvier 2029.
- Comment President Trump to pardon Luigi Mangione? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If President Trump pardon Luigi Mangione, UnitedHealth CEO killer, during his next presidential term will resolve YES, otherwise NO.