Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Labour 28.3%En tête parmi 7 options
Labour 28.3%Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète31 oct. 24, 14:11 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Manifold MarketsIf Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsUK General Election Next after 2024: Which party will win in Middlesbrough and Thornaby East?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiWhat will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms?
PredictItRègles
Each answer resolves to the share of the national popular vote received by each of the main parties in the next UK General Election following July 2024, with named parties rounded to the nearest full percentage. i.e. if results were the same as 2024 then this would resolve 34% Labour, 24% Conservative, 14% Reform, 12% the named outcome, 7% Green, 3% SNP, 6% other.
