Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleHappens in September 99%En tête parmi 22 options
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+35.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
13 juil. 26, 22:36 UTC12 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a new Smash Bros game be announced in the Nintendo Direct on 9/9?
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Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice prop market that resolves based on the events of the next official General Nintendo Direct broadcast following the June 9, 2026 presentation.
- Each added option will resolve to YES or NO based on the following criteria:
- Qualifying Presentation: The presentation must be officially titled simply as a "Nintendo Direct" (e.g., "Nintendo Direct - September 2026").
- Presentations explicitly excluded from resolving this market include "Partner Showcase", "Indie World", "Super Nintendo World" or "Museum" tours, and game-specific showcases (such as "Pokémon Presents" or dedicated single-game Directs).
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using the official stream and video archive published on the official Nintendo YouTube Channel.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Happens in September à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers) doit être résolu le 12 septembre 2026.
- Comment Next General Nintendo Direct Prop Market (Add answers) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria