Prévision communautaire actuelle
Somebody who has had a little too much alcohol makes a scene 14.8%+1.3ptEn tête parmi 21 options
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
4 sept. 26, 12:01 UTC4 oct. 26, 10:36 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
I'm getting married this month! What could possibly go wrong? Add answers, be as creative and cruel as you like.
- I won't bet (except to initialise some very low probabilities) but I might add more answers.
- Resolves to the worst thing that actually happens. "Worst" is my judgement.
- Feel free to ask me which of two options would be worse.
- If there are two answers that overlap (e.g. "Somebody dies" and "the best man dies"; or "an ambulance gets called" and "an ambulance gets called because of a severe allergic reaction to the food"), I'll probably resolve to the more specific one, unless it feels really non-central and not so bad.
- If in doubt, ask me which one would count as worse.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Somebody who has had a little too much alcohol makes a scene à 15% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers] sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers] doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2026.
- Comment What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I'm getting married this month! What could possibly go wrong? Add answers, be as creative and cruel as you like.