Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 91%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète3 sept. 26, 01:18 UTC31 déc. 26, 02:14 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next James Bond (after "No Time To Die") be played by a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Bond girl?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the next Bond film make at the box office?
Manifold MarketsRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
PolymarketWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRègles
1 Callum Turner
- 2 Jack Lowden
- 3 Jack Barton
- 4 Someone Else
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios, Eon Productions, or a major reputable Hollywood trade publication (such as Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, or Deadline) confirming the actor cast to play the next James Bond (007) in the official film franchise (often referred to as "Bond 26").
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+0.3pt100%
- $25M+0.2pt100%
- $50M+1.2pt100%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 418 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat+16.0pt82%
- Communist / Communism+13.0pt75%
- MAGA / Make America Great Again+7.0pt75%
+36 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.6pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+6.0pt59.2%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt40.8%
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 217,4 k €
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Next Bond ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 91% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Next Bond sera-t-il résolu ?
- Next Bond doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Next Bond est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : 1 Callum Turner