Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard29 oct. 26, 07:54 UTC8 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketNew Zealand Election: Turnout
PolymarketFollowing the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)
Manifold MarketsRègles
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of more than half of the seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election: (a) Labour, Greens, and Te Pāti Māori; or (b) National, ACT, and New Zealand First.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the New Zealand House of Representatives.
- This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
