Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.2%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète24 août 26, 22:57 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, Natalie Harp gives birth to a child of whom Donald J. Trump is the biological father.
- Verification will rely on credible mainstream news sources (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times) or official public announcements from Donald J. Trump, Natalie Harp, or their authorized representatives.
- If a birth is confirmed but paternity is publicly disputed or unverified by the cutoff date, resolution may be delayed by up to three months (until March 31, 2029) to await official confirmation or DNA parentage test results.
- If paternity is not confirmed by this extended deadline, the market will resolve to NO.
- If no birth occurs, or if Natalie Harp births a child fathered by someone else, the market will resolve to NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria