[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
PolitiqueCustomPolitique américaineÉlection3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.4%
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13
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète7 nov. 23, 14:31 UTC2 janv. 30, 08:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How much progress will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact make by the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by July 2028?
PredictItWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the needed 270 votes?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one state that enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact withdraw from it by EOY 2035?
Manifold Markets2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
KalshiRègles
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3629/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves positively if at least five reliable media sources report that states representing at least half of Electoral College votes have signed the NPVIC before 2030.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
