KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Democratic by 91 to 130 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Democratic by 91 to 130 12.5%En tête parmi 14 options
Democratic by 91 to 130 12.5%Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
14,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Democratic by 91 to 130Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
15 mai 26, 14:00 UTC8 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 14s (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Democratic by 91 to 130
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Open Answer: What will be the (absolute) Electoral College margin in the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nebraska change it’s electoral college to winner take all before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRègles
If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:United States Congress
Règles de chaque résultat
- Democratic by 91 to 130
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 61 to 90
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 31 to 60
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 61 to 90
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 91 to 130
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 131 to 210
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 1 to 10
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 11 to 30
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 211 or more
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 11 to 30
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 31 to 60
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 211 or more
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 1 to 10
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 131 to 210
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.