KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic by 91 to 130 14%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
5,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
15 mai 26, 14:00 UTC6 mai 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRègles
If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:United States Congress
- If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 2028 Electoral College margin of victory? ?
- Kalshi cote Democratic by 91 to 130 à 14% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand 2028 Electoral College margin of victory? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 2028 Electoral College margin of victory? doit être résolu le 6 mai 2029.
- Comment 2028 Electoral College margin of victory? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.