Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour [Metaculus] Will any of the US, EU, UK, or China have enacted a universal basic income before 2030? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 92.6% au 25 octobre 2026.

[Metaculus] Will any of the US, EU, UK, or China have enacted a universal basic income before 2030?

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13 mai 24, 04:17 UTC2 janv. 30, 12:00 UTC

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Will any of the US, EU, UK, or China have enacted a universal basic income before 2030?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/22388/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, a universal basic income (UBI) is enacted in the entirety of any of the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU.
The method of enactment is irrelevant so long as it applies to the entirety of the country.
There may be eligibility criteria or exceptions, such as excluding those who already have high incomes.