Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAt least 2,000 90.7%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 22:34 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active traders?
Manifold MarketsWill Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsLife360 monthly active users in Q3
KalshiSpotify total monthly active users in 2026
KalshiSpotify monthly active users in Q3
KalshiRègles
This resolves according to the readout the monthly tab for the active traders chart of the Manifold stats page at the end of 2027.
- An "active trader" is described as of market creation as
- An active trader is a user who has traded in, commented on, or created a question.
- If that definition changes, I will do my best to either get an accurate number in the spirit of the original meaning, or N/A the market.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Manifold Monthly Active Traders at end of 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote At least 2,000 à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Manifold Monthly Active Traders at end of 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Manifold Monthly Active Traders at end of 2027 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Manifold Monthly Active Traders at end of 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This resolves according to the readout the monthly tab for the active traders chart of the Manifold stats page at the end of 2027.