Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.6%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète8 juil. 26, 20:24 UTC31 déc. 99, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Macron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
MyriadMacron out by which date?
PolymarketBrigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiWho will be the next president of France after Macron?
Manifold MarketsMacron leads EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsIf a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Emmanuel Macron is officially sworn in as the President of the United States of America.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market:
- Identification: "Emmanuel Macron" refers to the French politician born on December 21, 1977, who has served as the President of the French Republic.
- Office: "President of the United States" is defined as the head of the executive branch of the federal government of the United States, as established under Article II of the Constitution of the United States.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.5pt71%
- December 15,+4.0pt65%
- November 30,-5.5pt45%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 68,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- CATL-13.0pt34%
- Baidu-14.0pt34%
- Tencent32%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt85%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No+1.0pt93.1%
- Yes-1.0pt6.9%
- Volume total
- 2,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3 k €
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- NuScale announces bankruptcy by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Macron president by 2100 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Macron president by 2100 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Macron president by 2100 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2099.
- Comment Macron president by 2100 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria