Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAngus Taylor 50%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète1 déc. 25, 00:07 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?
KalshiWho will be the leader of the Liberal Democrats going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsOntario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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KalshiRègles
Users are welcome to add options to the market.
- User-submitted options may be edited to correct apparent spelling errors or to remove duplicate options.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the name of the person who is the leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the close date.
- This market is set to close at 12:59:00 UTC on 31 December 2027.
- Further information
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 29,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 621,6 k €
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- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 19,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 488,8 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Angus Taylor à 50% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Users are welcome to add options to the market.