KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 20 sept. 2026, 15:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Navdeep Bains 50%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
25 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
414,8 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
51.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
11 août 26, 15:27 UTC21 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027
Manifold MarketsWill I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the new Ontario Liberal leader?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Ontario Liberal Party — Chief Returning Officer
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 29,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 621,6 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 19,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 488,8 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 résultats de plus
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Navdeep Bains à 50% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? doit être résolu le 21 novembre 2027.
- Comment Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.