Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 54.4%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète13 août 26, 04:26 UTC18 oct. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Test for wedding prop bets
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KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Val attends the wedding ceremony and/or reception of the couple known as "The Strotes".
- This market resolves to NO if Val does not attend either the wedding ceremony or the reception.
- Attending only pre-wedding events (such as a rehearsal dinner, bridal shower, or bachelor/bachelorette party) without attending the actual wedding day events will resolve this market to NO.
- If the wedding is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to N/A. The market creator will resolve this market based on first-hand knowledge, photographic evidence, or direct confirmation from Val or the wedding hosts.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt47.6%
- 65-89+5.0pt28.6%
- <40-3.0pt15.2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 11,8 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-67.0pt1%
- Volume total
- 10,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,4 k €
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Volume total
- 8,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Volume total
- 14,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 608,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 515,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 515,7 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- 515,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 515,7 €
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- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Is Val going to attend The Strotes wedding? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 54% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Is Val going to attend The Strotes wedding? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Is Val going to attend The Strotes wedding? doit être résolu le 18 octobre 2026.
- Comment Is Val going to attend The Strotes wedding? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria