Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète29 mars 26, 21:11 UTC30 déc. 26, 20:10 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketCalifornia Governor winner? (Person)
KalshiRègles
Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.
- If he announced it was a stunt to see which conservatives would support him.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-5.0pt70.3%
- Yes+5.0pt29.7%
- Volume total
- 14,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 759 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.1%
- D-House, R-Senate34.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.4%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt13%
+48 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change60.8%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt36.3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt64%
- October 31+2.0pt37%
- September 3017%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIBlanchet vs Harris
- Ugo Blanchet55.5%
- Billy Harris44.5%
- Volume total
- 378,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 263,3 k €
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Is James fishback a stunt? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 99% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand Is James fishback a stunt? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Is James fishback a stunt? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2026.
- Comment Is James fishback a stunt? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.