KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 oct. 2026, 01:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jul 1, 2027 57%
Before Jul 1, 2027 57%Qualité du marché
21 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
102,2 €
Intérêt ouvert
1,4 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard10 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jul 1, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Is James fishback a stunt?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for public office in 2026?
KalshiWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
PolymarketWill Hasan Piker announce a run for public office?
KalshiWill James Fishback have to pay his lawyers?
Manifold Marketswill Jimmy Kimmel run for any public office before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:James FishbackThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any government office in any election year.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.