KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 08:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2028 50%
Before Jan 1, 2028 50%Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
121,7 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
2 sept. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2028
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms?
Manifold MarketsHasan Piker arrested in 2026?
PolymarketWill Hasan Piker be arrested?
Manifold MarketsWill Hasan Piker Interview Gavin Newsom in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHasan Piker a guest on Jimmy Kimmel Live! In 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Hasan PikerThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any elected public office in any election year.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.