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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 17:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2028 17%
Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
3.0% / 8.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
2 sept. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Hasan Piker Interview Gavin Newsom in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHasan Piker a guest on Jimmy Kimmel Live! In 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Hasan Piker ever admit that he shocked his dog? [ within 1 year ]
Manifold MarketsWho will run for public office in 2026?
KalshiWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
If, after Issuance and the named outcome, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Hasan PikerThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
- The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Hasan Piker announce a run for public office? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2028 à 17% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Hasan Piker announce a run for public office? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Hasan Piker announce a run for public office? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Hasan Piker announce a run for public office? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If, after Issuance and the named outcome, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.