Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.6%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète11 sept. 26, 01:26 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Unsong musical be good?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an Unsong musical by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCMA Awards: Musical Event of the Year
KalshiRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
KalshiRunner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
Kalshi#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 18)
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve YES if the 2026 film "Digger" contains over three instances of a character singing a unique song in the manner commonly associated with musicals.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-3.0pt51%
- Digger+1.0pt12%
- Dune: Part Three11%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 137,1 k €
POLYMARKET# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
- 40–45M-8.3pt52.5%
- 45–50M+18.5pt43.4%
- 50M+-2.3pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIToronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
- I Play Rocky-40.0pt21.2%
- The Debut20.4%
- Wild Horse Nine10.6%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 38,4 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Dee Valladares+1.0pt26.1%
- Rick Devens-2.0pt19.8%
- Yash Patel+2.0pt18.9%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden-17.1pt34%
- No Bond chosen-0.7pt21.4%
- Callum Turner+5.1pt14.6%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Actor
- Matt Damon-2.0pt20.5%
- Tom Cruise+5.0pt18.9%
- John Malkovich-2.0pt18.9%
+20 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
- Contender Series: Ravello vs Cavalcanti
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
- Forgotten Island · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Resident Evil · Rotten Tomatoes score
- The Game Awards: Game of the Year
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- I Play Rocky · Rotten Tomatoes score
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Is Digger (2026) a musical? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Is Digger (2026) a musical? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Is Digger (2026) a musical? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Is Digger (2026) a musical? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve YES if the 2026 film "Digger" contains over three instances of a character singing a unique song in the manner commonly associated with musicals.