Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 25, 20:59 UTC15 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
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Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the current Iranian regime remains in power throughout Donald Trump's presidency and is still in power when Trump leaves office.
- It resolves to NO if the regime collapses, is overthrown, or fundamentally transforms into a different system of government during Trump's term.
- Happy to clarify edge cases.
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
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POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
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- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
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- J.D. Vance44.7%
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration? doit être résolu le 15 janvier 2029.
- Comment Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria