Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 25, 20:59 UTC15 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Manifold MarketsTrump administration does another regime change after removing Venezuela's Maduro?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the current Iranian regime remains in power throughout Donald Trump's presidency and is still in power when Trump leaves office.
- It resolves to NO if the regime collapses, is overthrown, or fundamentally transforms into a different system of government during Trump's term.
- Happy to clarify edge cases.
