Indonesia and Laos supply >40% of US solar imports by June 30, 2026?
DivertissementOne-OffPolitique commercialeMacro et économieMatières premières
Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (99%)
Résolu: 20 oct. 2026, 02:55
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Tendances
Gagné
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Market Overview
- This market resolves YES if Indonesia and Laos together account for more than 40% of US solar module imports by mid-2026.
- The share of module imports from Indonesia and Laos has grown to 34.6% in Q1 2025.
- Module imports from Cambodia have dropped to 0 GW in 2025, and concurrently, there has been an increased presence of alternative sourcing locations in the US module import mix.
- In 1Q25, US module capacity stood at 50.5 GW; in contrast, US cell capacity amounted to only 2.3 GW.
- Excluding thin-film module capacity, the U.S. faces a cell capacity gap of approximately 37 GW, necessitating imports from Indonesia and Laos.