In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released?
Divertissement
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Other 89.1%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète23 févr. 24, 10:11 UTC1 mars 87, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
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Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
This refers to the third book in the Kingkiller Chronicles, even if it winds up being published under a different name.
- The question will resolve to the year the first readers actually receive their copies (physical or digital), not to any pre-order date.
- Beta readers and any form of early access are excluded from this question.
- Any member of the public needs to be able to order a book and receive it for the question to resolve.
- I will add additional years over time.
- If it becomes clear it will never be published this resolves to 'Other'.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Other à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2187.
- Comment In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This refers to the third book in the Kingkiller Chronicles, even if it winds up being published under a different name.