Prévision communautaire actuelle
2035-2039 22.3%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète9 juin 25, 00:19 UTC31 déc. 00, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
China already became the world's largest economy on a purchasing-power-parity (PPP) basis in 2016, according to both the World Bank and IMF estimates, even though the United States still leads when measured at market exchange rates.
- As of 2024, China's nominal GDP is about 73 % of the U.S. level ($18.3 tn vs $25.0 tn in 2022 IMF data) and the gap has been narrowing roughly 1-2 percentage points per year.
- Whether-and when-China overtakes the U.S. in nominal terms hinges on factors such as:
- real growth differentials,
- inflation and deflation trends,
- RMB-USD exchange-rate movements, and
