In 2027, will Manifold poll show Minnesota shooting had greater immigration enforcement impact than Laken Riley?
Politique américaineOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 63%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 heures
Obsolète9 janv. 26, 02:43 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
At the end of 2026 I will make a poll (basically) identical to this: {https://manifold.markets/JeromeHPowell/which-incident-do-you-believe-will}
- The market will resolve to Yes, No, or 50%, 50% being in case of a tie.
- I am open to changes to this model of resolution, but if a lot of people trade before a change, I will keep it how it is most likely.
- I am very interested!
- [link preview]