If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?
PolitiqueOne-OffMétéoPolitique américaineÉlection3j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.3%
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binary
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Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète9 mars 24, 21:37 UTC2 nov. 26, 07:59 UTC
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If Trump wins the US 2024 election, what will the United States' total carbon footprint be in 2025?
- I will use Our World in Data's Annual CO2 emissions dataset.
- In 2022, OWID reported a total emissions of 5.06 billion tons.
- Global Carbon Budget estimates a 3% decrease for 2023 to 4.9 billion tons, although official numbers are not yet reported.
- If Trump does not win the US 2024 elections, this market resolves N/A. Otherwise:
- If the total number for 2025 is 4.8 billion tons or lower, this market resolves YES.
