If there exists a super-intelligent AI, would majority of AI researchers answer Yes to "Have we reached AGI?" ?
CustomIA5a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68.1%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète3 juil. 23, 05:50 UTC31 déc. 31, 06:29 UTC
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KalshiRègles
Super-intelligent AI :
- "Something along the lines of -> smarter than humans at most cognitive tasks, very very good at some key tasks, and can afford to be indifferent too anything it can't do." (@Duncn's comment)
- "AI that is better than majority of the humans at most economically valuable tasks, but not necessarily better than the best humans in all of those tasks."
- (I created this market to gauge opinion for @Primer's question)