If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 20 oct. 2026, 20:16 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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3
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 33 minutes
7 oct. 26, 02:13 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump veto the UK's Chagos Islands deal?
Manifold MarketsHow many bills will Trump veto in 2026?
KalshiIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Congress override Trump's veto?
KalshiRègles
Condition: Democrats win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Democratic Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Republicans or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if Donald Trump vetoes five or more bills or joint resolutions during calendar year 2027, counting regular and pocket vetoes as listed in the U.S. Senate's record of presidential vetoes.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Republicans keep the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.
