If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard7 oct. 26, 02:14 UTC2 janv. 28, 17:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win all House seats bordering Mexico in 2026?
KalshiIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 23, 2026?
KalshiRègles
Condition: Democrats win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Democratic Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Republicans or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if VoteHub's polling average of Donald Trump's job approval is 40.0% or higher for January 1, 2028 (the value VoteHub shows for that date).
- If VoteHub's average is unavailable, uses the RealClearPolling average instead.
- Resolves NO otherwise, and N/A if Trump is not President on that date.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Republicans keep the House.
