If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffIA
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
M. "We'll make the AI do our AI alignment homework" just works as a plan. (Eg the helping AI doesn't need to be smart enough to be deadly; the alignment proposals that most impress human judges are honest and truthful and successful.) 17.2%-0.1ptEn tête parmi 18 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+3.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète22 juin 23, 18:46 UTC1 janv. 01, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Why will "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" resolve N/A?
Manifold MarketsIf Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Manifold MarketsIf Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Duplicate of https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence except you're allowed to short options
- [link preview]