Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 79.1%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète19 avr. 25, 12:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2027, a humanoid robot completes a full marathon (42.195 kilometers) in a time faster than the current official human marathon world record.
- The current men's marathon world record is 2 hours, 0 minutes, and 35 seconds, set by Kelvin Kiptum at the Chicago Marathon on October 8, 2023.
- The current women's marathon world record is 2 hours, 9 minutes, and 56 seconds, set by Ruth Chepngetich at the Chicago Marathon on October 13, 2024.
- For the purpose of this market, the robot must complete the marathon in a time faster than 2:00:35.
- The robot's performance must be officially documented and recognized by a reputable organization or governing body in the field of robotics or athletics.
