Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 99%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète4 févr. 25, 21:44 UTC2 janv. 30, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Humanoid Robot Finishes a 10K Race Under 60 Minutes by 2030
Manifold MarketsHumanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?
Manifold MarketsMilestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiTiafoe vs Michelsen
KalshiReal Madrid vs Inter
KalshiRègles
Prediction: By December 31, 2030, a humanoid robot will complete a 13.1-mile (21.1 km) half marathon in under 2 hours.
- Pass/Fail Criteria:
- The event must be a legitimate half marathon recognized by local race authorities.
- The robot must run on two legs with no external power supply.
- Official chip time or race clock must show under 2:00:00 at the finish line.
- Must be documented by official race organizers or credible local media.
Marchés ouverts
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume total
- 12,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,2 M €
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume total
- 15,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,1 M €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Prediction: By December 31, 2030, a humanoid robot will complete a 13.1-mile (21.1 km) half marathon in under 2 hours.