Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic President, Democratic senate 42%-3.7ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+22.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète7 sept. 26, 00:57 UTC31 déc. 43, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiSupreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiDias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ?
FutuurRègles
Resolves according to whoever is president and which party controls the senate when the next Supreme Court justice is confirmed.
- ‘Other’ is for (rare) possibilities, such as a third party president or a senate controlled by third parties.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democratic President, Democratic senate à 42% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2043.
- Comment How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves according to whoever is president and which party controls the senate when the next Supreme Court justice is confirmed.