Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAppeal or other delay into 2027 70%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète24 avr. 26, 15:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
In 2021 I bought a Victorian estate in Massachusetts to establish an intentional community of artists and makers (http://est8ofmind.com).
- In March 2024 the Victorian manor was rendered uninhabitable by fire (no one was injured) and the community began to dissolve.
- In June 2024 I signed a contract to sell the property for $1.6M, to close at the end of August 2024.
- In August the buyer did not close the deal.
- From September to November my agent and attorney repeatedly attempted to get them to close the deal, but they instead repeatedly demanded to change the terms of our agreement (different closing and payment timelines, interest payments, holdback amounts, division of responsibility, etc).
- I gave up on selling to them in November and started talking to other buyers.
