Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAppeal or other delay into 2027 52.1%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète24 avr. 26, 15:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will my Home Assistant spatial dashboard card have >100 stars on GitHub by end of year?
Manifold MarketsWill Kalshi win its lawsuit against Maryland?
Manifold MarketsWill the DC Attorney General win his antitrust lawsuit against DC landlords?
Manifold MarketsWill Midjourney be found liable for copyright infringement in the Disney/Comcast lawsuit in 2026?
FutuurWill the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?
KalshiMacron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
MyriadRègles
In 2021 I bought a Victorian estate in Massachusetts to establish an intentional community of artists and makers (http://est8ofmind.com).
- In March 2024 the Victorian manor was rendered uninhabitable by fire (no one was injured) and the community began to dissolve.
- In June 2024 I signed a contract to sell the property for $1.6M, to close at the end of August 2024.
- In August the buyer did not close the deal.
- From September to November my agent and attorney repeatedly attempted to get them to close the deal, but they instead repeatedly demanded to change the terms of our agreement (different closing and payment timelines, interest payments, holdback amounts, division of responsibility, etc).
- I gave up on selling to them in November and started talking to other buyers.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Appeal or other delay into 2027 à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : In 2021 I bought a Victorian estate in Massachusetts to establish an intentional community of artists and makers (http://est8ofmind.com).