Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle1 86.7%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète16 janv. 26, 04:26 UTC20 janv. 29, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
KalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill TSLA reach $500 during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiWill Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiWhat percent of Project 2025 will be accomplished by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsRègles
In his physical possession or ownership, regardless of how he got them.
- Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market is about the physical Nobel Prize medal(s) in Trump's possession or ownership, not the prize designation itself.
- The medal can be transferred or change hands regardless of who originally won the Nobel Prize.
