Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2029 or earlier 56.3%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 38 minutes
26 oct. 25, 15:01 UTC5 janv. 30, 14:18 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if I notice my laptop's hardware performance has degraded so much that it significantly impacts my usage.
- Resolves NO if the year passes without those issues.
- resolves NA if I stop using my laptop but I still judge it to be in good condition.
- Not sure how I should resolve in case of theft, loss, or damage clearly unrelated to age (e.g. falling from a building).
- Currently leaning towards NA, but will announce in a comment if this changes.
- Examples of things that would make it resolve YES:
