Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
5 oct. 26, 12:44 UTC3 janv. 27, 12:43 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
KalshiLAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketJumper listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketLinera listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketExtended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketIf Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any of the following three officials officially vacates or ceases to hold their respective office on or before 11:59 PM ET on January 3, 2027 (90 days from October 5, 2026):
- Pete Hegseth (Secretary of Defense)
- Kash Patel (Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation)
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)
- This market resolves to NO if all three individuals remain in their respective offices as of the end of this 90-day window.