GOP wins in how many of the six "Rabois" Senate races?
30.7 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection16h
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAt least one 80.7%+30.7ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+30.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète2 nov. 26, 14:47 UTC4 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWhich of the Manifold rated Lean and Likely R senate races will Republicans win?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWhich of the Manifold rated Lean D senate races will Democrats win?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Keith Rabois offers to bet Nate Silver that the GOP wins the named outcome of six Senate races: Texas, Alaska, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio (special), Michigan.
- This market counts how many of those six the Republican candidate actually wins.
- [tweet]Each answer resolves independently: "At least N" resolves YES if the GOP wins N or more of the six, NO otherwise.
- Winners per the AP call / certified result.
- A race that goes to a runoff or recount resolves on its final outcome; the market stays open to resolution until all six are decided.
- Pic for posterity:
