Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20%
TechOne-OffBusiness & Corporate2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 66.2%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
24 août 24, 13:11 UTC1 juil. 29, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Extropic AI ever have more than 100m revenue in a year through mid 2029?
Manifold MarketsThere will be at least one region which limits suffrage only to those with children through mid 2027
Manifold MarketsSum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies
Manifold MarketsTech layoff rate in August
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
PolymarketRègles
rank means company market cap, e.g. https://companiesmarketcap.com/
- fired 20% means there exists a time period where T => T2 with a gap <=6 months, and during which he company either shrunk by >=20%, or didn't (due to also hiring people) but where it's reasonable to believe that that many staff did leave for any reason, voluntary of forced or sold/broken up/etc to another company.
- Fires is shorthand for leaving for any reason excluding death or some kind of catastrphe (that's because changes like that are essentially random, and wouldn't have the supposed beneficial effect of cutting the fat)
- We will know this by looking at papers like sf gate, la times, wash post.
- as of claim creation they are 4th ranked, 2.089T valuation.
- [image]Claim judged at end of time period, june 30 2029
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
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- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20% ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20% sera-t-il résolu ?
- Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20% doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2029.
- Comment Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20% est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : rank means company market cap, e.g. https://companiesmarketcap.com/