Gavin Newsom gets at least 45% of the popular vote in 2028 Presidential Election
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.4%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète12 févr. 26, 19:54 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
JD Vance gets at least 45% of the popular vote in 2028 Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves YES if Gavin Newsom receives ≥45% of the national popular vote in the 2028 U.S. presidential general election, as reported by the official certified results.
- Resolves NO if he does not receive ≥45%, or if he is not a candidate in the general election.
