Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 77%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 heures
Obsolète12 févr. 26, 19:56 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Gavin Newsom gets at least 45% of the popular vote in 2028 Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the popular vote in the 2028 Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will New Hampshire vote for in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves YES if JD Vance receives ≥45% of the national popular vote in the 2028 U.S. presidential general election, as reported by the official certified results.
- Resolves NO if he does not receive ≥45%, or if he is not a candidate in the general election.
