Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83.2%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète18 mai 26, 22:47 UTC28 févr. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
At the end of 2024, 85% of US adult citizens believed Donald Trump legitimately won the 2024 US presidential election, according to YouGov, while 15% did not.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated on 20 January 2029 legitimately won the 2028 US presidential election.
- This market will resolve NO if more than 10% of US adults believe the president inaugurated on 20 January 2029 did not legitimately win the 2028 US presidential election.
- Clarifications
- This market will resolve according to the most recently published YouGov poll to ask this question (or one with a substantially similar meaning) at the end of February 2029.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected? doit être résolu le 28 février 2029.
- Comment Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : At the end of 2024, 85% of US adult citizens believed Donald Trump legitimately won the 2024 US presidential election, according to YouGov, while 15% did not.