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Données au 30 oct. 2026, 06:29 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
U.S. Senator · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistréU.S. Senator 51.5%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
23 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
259 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
U.S. SenatorÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard20 août 26, 14:00 UTC1 févr. 29, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · U.S. Senator
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Règles
If U.S. Senator is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. Each market resolves independently and more than one can resolve YES. If the person has held none of the offices listed, every market resolves NO. "Previously held" means the person was sworn in and served in the office at any time before January 20, 2029. Any length of service counts, and it does not matter whether the person reached the office through election, appointment or succession. A person who was elected or appointed but never sworn in did NOT hold the office. What each office means: President: President of the United States. Serving as Acting President under Section 3 of the 25th Amendment does NOT count. Vice President: Vice President of the United States. U.S. Senator: a United States Senator. A state senator does NOT count. U.S. Representative: a voting member of the United States House of Representatives. A state representative, a territorial Delegate and the Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico do NOT count. Governor: Governor of one of the 50 states or of a United States territory, including a person who succeeded to the office. A Lieutenant Governor temporarily discharging the Governor's duties does NOT count. Mayor: Mayor of any incorporated municipality in the United States, of any population, including in an acting or interim capacity. A city council or county governing board office does NOT count. Cabinet Secretary: a Senate-confirmed head of one of the 15 executive departments, including the Attorney General. An acting head does NOT count, and neither does a Cabinet-rank official who does not head an executive department, such as the U.S. Trade Representative or the Director of National Intelligence. State Legislator: a member of either chamber of the legislature of one of the 50 states.
Règles de chaque résultat
- U.S. Senator
- If U.S. Senator is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Governor
- If Governor is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cabinet Secretary
- If Cabinet Secretary is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vice President
- If Vice President is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- State Legislator
- If State Legislator is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U.S. Representative
- If U.S. Representative is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mayor
- If Mayor is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- President
- If President is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
