Ce marché s'est résolu: Flight 14 (93.6%)
Résolu: 29 sept. 2026, 02:22
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 29 sept. 2026, 17:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Flight 120.3%
Flight 130.3%
Flight 1493.6%
Flight 153.9%
Other1.8%
Gagné
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Successful Starship Splashdowns before successful Starship Catch?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship flight 15 happen?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
PolymarketSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the first Starship V3 flight that meets all of SpaceX's stated primary objectives.
- SpaceX is targeting the first quarter of 2026 for the debut flight of Starship V3, which will be the named outcome.
- Resolution will be based on SpaceX's official post-flight statements and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Starship.
- Nits Individual failures (e.g. engine failures, subsystem problems) that don't affect overall flight objectives will not cause a flight to resolve NO.
- For example, if this market was for block 1 flight 4 it would resolve YES even though the landing was off target.
