Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2,500,000 - 2,600,000 29.8%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète17 déc. 25, 18:10 UTC31 déc. 26, 18:04 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will half of the S&P 500 enforce wide adoption of AI tools by employees by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill there be a unicorn with no human employees by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an anti-discrimination law be enacted to protect U.S. federal employees who have been genetically-edited or screened as embryos by 2100?
Manifold MarketsBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).
- Context: As of November 2025, FRED lists 2,744,000 employees.
- If the reported figure is exactly between two buckets, it resolves to the higher bucket.
- I've included a reasonable range of buckets + "Other"—I can expand with other buckets if they seem relevant.
