Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2,700,000 - 2,800,000 29.4%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète17 déc. 25, 18:10 UTC31 déc. 26, 18:04 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
Manifold MarketsBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketWill the federal gas tax be suspended?
KalshiUs market crash in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuelans be better off at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).
- Context: As of November 2025, FRED lists 2,744,000 employees.
- If the reported figure is exactly between two buckets, it resolves to the higher bucket.
- I've included a reasonable range of buckets + "Other"—I can expand with other buckets if they seem relevant.
Marchés ouverts
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 125,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4 k €
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 17,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 17,4 k €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 16 k €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Federal employees at EOY 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2,700,000 - 2,800,000 à 29% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Federal employees at EOY 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Federal employees at EOY 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Federal employees at EOY 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).