Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
One-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionTechSpacePolitique22jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.5%
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète9 juin 25, 20:22 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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PolymarketWill Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, Elon Musk publicly endorses any candidate participating in a Democratic primary election during that year.
- An endorsement is defined as a public statement of support for a specific candidate, made through any of Musk's official communication channels, including but not limited to his social media accounts, public speeches, or official press releases.
- The endorsement must be verifiable through reputable news sources or Musk's official communications.
- If no such endorsement is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, has a history of political involvement that spans various affiliations.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria