Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 54.6%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète8 janv. 24, 11:18 UTC30 juin 28, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Bitcoin be above $69K on both 6/9 AND 9/6 in 2027? (June 9th and Sept 6th)
Manifold MarketsWho will die first? Trump or Biden?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Referring to the Trump and Biden candidates for the 2024 election.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-6.0pt49.5%
- No change+5.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 755,3 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 586,9 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-0.6pt9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 427,4 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.3pt8.9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+3.4pt100%
- October 31+2.8pt100%
- December 31+2.0pt100%
+3 résultats de plus
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Either Trump OR Biden will be deceased by June 30th 2028 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 55% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Either Trump OR Biden will be deceased by June 30th 2028 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Either Trump OR Biden will be deceased by June 30th 2028 doit être résolu le 30 juin 2028.
- Comment Either Trump OR Biden will be deceased by June 30th 2028 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Referring to the Trump and Biden candidates for the 2024 election.